Handelsstreit hinterlässt Spuren: Agrar-Index fällt auf neuen Jahrzehnt-Tiefstand

Agrarrohstoffe bleiben bis auf Weiteres in einem Bärenmarkt:

Quelle: Bloomberg

USA, Volatilitätsindex VIX: Größter 3-Wocheneinbruch aller Zeiten

Die jüngste Verlust-Serie beim vielbeachteten VIX-Index nimmt historische Ausmaße an:

Quelle: stockcharts.com

Kupfer: Enge Korrelation mit Chinas Einkaufsmanagersindex

Es wird spannend, ob der chinesische PMI dem Kupferpreis folgen wird..

Quelle: reuters.com

Aktienindex S&P 500: Schlechtester Jahresauftakt aller Zeiten

Noch nie in der Historie stand der S&P 500 nach 28 Handelstagen schlechter da als in 2016..

Quelle: pensionspartners.com

Rohstoffe: Netto-Long-Positionen der großen Spekulanten auf 10-Jahrestief

In der Vergangenheit war ein solch niedriger Wert bei den Netto-Long-Positionen meistens ein bedeutender Kontra-Indikator..

Quelle: bloomberg.com, CFTC, Citi Research

Rohstoffe: Deflationscrash verfestigt sich, China setzt Angebotsflut fort

Die chinesischen Rohstoff-Exporte befinden sich seit geraumer Zeit in einem steilen Aufwärtstrend und tragen signifikant zum Überangebot am globalen Rohstoffmarkt bei. Da zeitgleich die Nachfrage nach vielen Basisrohstoffen schwächelt, erhöht sich der Druck auf die Rohstoffpreise quasi automatisch..

Quelle: bloomberg.com

Welthandel, Frachtschiffahrt: Baltic Dry Index fällt auf neues Allzeittief - Krise in China bleibt im Fokus

Nach einer stärkeren Erholung  zur Jahresmitte bricht der Baltic Dry Index in den letzten Wochen auf ein neues Rekordtief ein.

Es ziehen damit weitere dunkle Wolken im globalen Welthandel auf. Der massive Einbruch des Verschiffungsvolumens ist gravierend.

Bis zur Nulllinie ist es beim relevanten Frachtschiffahrts-Index jetzt bereits nicht mehr weit, wodurch das Abwärtspotential mit jedem Verlusttag geringer wird..

Quelle: zerohedge.com

Rohstoff-Baisse hält an: Bloomberg's Commodity Index fällt auf 13-Jahrestiefstände

Ein Chart, der Bände spricht:


Quote:

Commodity Rout Worsens as Prices Tumble to Lowest Since 2002

by Pratish Narayanan July 20, 2015 — 7:56 AM CESTUpdated on July 20, 2015 — 4:13 PM CEST

The rout in commodities deepened with prices touching the lowest since 2002 as the prospect of higher U.S. interest rates sent gold tumbling..

Link: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-20/commodities-drop-as-dollar-gain-routs-gold-on-fed-rate-prospects

Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Index flirtet mit Mehrjahres-Tiefständen

Öl und Gas brechen nach den jüngsten News zu Iran's Output-Plänen regelrecht ein. Der wichtige US Öl- und Gas-Aktien-Index (DJUSEN) ist stark angeschlagen..

Quelle: bigcharts.com

Starke Aufnahme: Uranium Energy ist jetzt Mitglied in den vielbeachteten, amerikanischen Russell-Aktienindizes

Uran-Produzent und Developer Uranium Energy (NYE:UEC) trotzt der schwerwiegenden Lage in der Uranindustrie und kommt nicht nur operativ weiter voran.

Binnen weniger Tage schafft es das Management um Amir Adnani mal kurz 10 Mio. USD von zwei institutionellen Investoren einzusammeln, die sogar mit einem satten Premium zum gegenwärtigen Aktienkurs in Uranium Energy investieren. Das ist eine definitiv herausragende Leistung in diesem grotesken Marktumfeld.

Diese Woche verkündet der Urankonzern außerdem einen anderen, wichtigen Meilenstein:

Uranium Energy Corp Joins Russell 3000 and Russell Global Indexes

Corpus Christi, TX, June 30, 2015 – Uranium Energy Corp, (NYSE-MKT: UEC, “the Company”), a U.S.-based uranium mining and exploration company, is pleased to announce that upon conclusion of the annual reconstitution of the Russell indexes after market close on June 26, 2015, according to the final lists published on June 29, the Company was added as a member of the broad-market Russell 3000 and Russell Global Indexes.

The reconstitution of the Russell indexes captures the 4,000 largest U.S. stocks at the end of May each year, ranking them by total market capitalization. Membership in the Russell 3000, which remains in place for one year, means automatic inclusion in the large-cap Russell 1000 Index or small-cap Russell 2000 Index as well as the appropriate growth and value style indexes. FTSE Russell determines membership for its Russell indexes primarily by objective, market-capitalization rankings and style attributes.

Russell indexes are widely used by investment managers and institutional investors for index funds and as benchmarks for active investment strategies. Approximately $5.7 trillion in assets are benchmarked to the Russell's U.S. indexes. Russell indexes are part of FTSE Russell, a leading global index provider.

Quelle: http://www.uraniumenergy.com/news_media/news_releases/index.php?&content_id=576

Quelle: uraniumenergy.com

Quote:

Uranium Energy schließt Finanzierung und erhält erneut starke Investoren-Unterstützung

Ein großes Vertrauenszeichen, was für sich spricht. Uranium Energy (NYE:UEC) schafft es binnen weniger Tage 10 Mio. US-Dollar von zwei institutionellen Investoren einzusammeln, die zu einem Premium investieren..

Link: http://rohstoffaktien.blogspot.de/2015/06/uranium-energy-schliet-finanzierung-und.html

Bärenmarkt bei den Rohstoffen hält an: Wichtiger Metall-Index fällt auf neue Mehrjahres-Tiefstände

Hierzu ein aktueller Bericht von Zerohedge:

Economically Key Industrial Metals Complex Is Breaking Down

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/23/2015 08:19 -0400

• Copper
 
• CRB
 
• Crude
 
• Crude Oil
 
• ETC
 
• Fibonacci

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr,

On March 5, we noted that the S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index was “Hanging On The Precipice” of a major long-term support level. At the time, the global deflationary spiral was reaching its nadir as all matters of commodities and pricing metrics were reaching multi-year lows. Not coincidentally, the U.S. Dollar was soaring at the time to new 12-year highs. The concern with the Industrial Metals space threatening to break down was the inherent message vis-a-vis the global economic outlook. As we stated in the March post:

It makes sense that pricing of industrial metals (like aluminum, copper, nickel, zinc, etc.) would make for a decent barometer of economic strength. These metals go into the manufacturing of a myriad of products. Thus, their pricing, i.e., a sign of the level of demand for these metals, is a tip off to the level of global economic demand present.

Quelle: zerohedge.com

The failure of the Industrial Metals complex to hold key support would appear, to us, to bode ill for the global economic outlook. The key support level threatening to give way was the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement (near 307) of the rally from 2009 to 2011 to which the Index had recently dropped. That level, at the time, had held for several days, confirming its relevance, and perhaps significance, as a support level.

We had seen the price of crude oil as well as the comprehensive CRB commodity Index break their own such 61.8% Fibonacci levels en route to major collapses. However, we also saw copper hold its similar level so it appeared that the Industrial Metals could go either way. Considering the lack of any bounce at all off of the 61.8% level, the chart had the looks of a continuation pattern. Thus, our suspicions were that the index would eventually break down. Well, our suspicions were correct…for 1 day. On March 18, the Index appeared to be breaking down, only to reverse itself the following day and commence a furious rally over the subsequent 6 weeks. After jumping some 13%, the Industrial Metals Index tested its previous break-down level from December near 345 – and failed.

Over the past 6 weeks, the Industrial Metals Index has gotten pummeled, losing its entire post-”false breakdown” gains. It has returned to the key 61.8% support level around 307 and, this time, it is threatening to slice through it.

The fact that the Index has dropped immediately to new 6-year lows is a concern. One would expect prices to at least be temporarily slowed by the prior lows. The failure to do that suggests a dearth of demand at this formerly key level. That said, prices could certainly be setting up another false breakdown. If the index is able to recapture that 307 line in short-order, that possibility cannot be overlooked. That could further lead to the potential of this down move being a successful test of the March lows. Thus, all of this action near the 61.8% line could just be a complex bottoming process. Furthermore, and we are looking well ahead here, if such a successful test leads to a rally above the May highs, it could signify a potentially major long-term low in the Industrial Metals complex.

However, that is merely the “could be”. We prefer to deal with the “what is”. And what is happening is that the Industrial Metals Index is breaking down below the key 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement of the 2009-2011 rally. Further breakdown in prices could, again, be a sign of global economic weakness. And perhaps arguing for a further breakdown in prices is the recent action in the U.S. Dollar.

Interestingly, in March, when the Industrial Metals Index was last breaking down, it was doing so in the face of a soaring dollar. That is not the case now. In fact, since the Index peaked in early May, the U.S. Dollar is actually lower by about 1.5%. Therefore, we can’t merely look at this as an anti-dollar move. It has come of its own accord, without the headwinds of a U.S. Dollar rally. If the Dollar were to rally, it’s possible we could see a significant acceleration of this plunge in the Industrial Metals.

For now, we’ll just focus on that 307 level. Above it, the Index has a chance to rally. Below it, it could be bombs away. Right now, we are below it. Therefore, we will continue to look for more downside in the Industrial Metals. And that downside could mean more than just losses in this space – it could be a warning sign for global economic demand.

Quelle: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-23/economically-key-industrial-metals-complex-breaking-down

TR Commodity Index: Rohstoffpreise testen 25-jährige Unterstützungslinie

Informativer Chart von Kimble Charting:

Quelle: http://blog.kimblechartingsolutions.com

Amerikanische Kohlebranche: Dunkler Ausblick, Pleitewelle droht

Wie viele Rohstoff-Sektoren hat es auch die amerikanische Kohle-Industrie (US:KOL) in den letzten Jahren hart getroffen. Nun warnen weitere Analysten vor einer Pleitewelle..

Wave of bankruptcies seen for U.S. coal industry, analyst warns 

Carl Surran, SA News Editor

• The outlook for U.S. coal producers is "increasingly bleak," and the sector is likely to undergo a wave of bankruptcies, Macquarie Research warns as it forecasts U.S. coal prices (NYSEARCA:KOL) will no longer move in conjunction with international coal prices.
• The decoupling, which will feature declines in U.S. coal prices, will be a "necessary step to force rationalization on U.S. producers" but also likely will result in production cuts and bankruptcies over the near-to-medium term, says analyst Anthony Young.
• Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) recently had to pay a 10% interest rate on bonds it issued, which Young says bodes badly for other coal producers, making it harder for to refinance debt and leading to cuts and liquidity squeezes.
• Macquarie lowers its stock price targets on Alpha Natural (NYSE:ANR) to $0.60 from $1.15, on Arch Coal (NYSE:ACI) to $0.90 from $1.25, on BTU to $5.30 from $6.40, and on Consol (NYSE:CNX) to $29.50 from $31.50.

Quelle: bigcharts.com

Quelle: bigcharts.com

CRB Rohstoff-Index - Reuters/Jefferies: Leichte Stabilisierung nahe Multi-Jahrestiefständen

Der renommierte CRB Index kann sich bei den 3-Jahrestiefständen leicht stabilisieren. Der Trend ist seit dem 2. Halbjahr 2014 durch die massiven Einbrüche bei den Energiepreisen wieder zunehmend abwärts gerichtet..

Quelle: goyax.de

Quelle: goyax.de

 Quelle: goyax.de

Quote:

Quelle: markt-daten.de

WTI Crude Oil und Brent stürzen auf neue Mehrjahrestiefstände - Crash geht weiter

Der Ausverkauf am Ölmarkt hält an:

Oil Falls to Four-Year Low as Europe Stocks, U.S. Futures

- By Abigail Moses  Oct 15, 2014 2:44 PM GMT+0200

Oil is languishing in a bear market, with the International Energy Agency predicting the lowest demand growth since 2009, even as U.S. supplies rise.

Oil slumped to the lowest in almost four years, European stocks dropped with U.S. index (BCOM) futures and German government bond yields reached a record low on evidence economic growth is slowing.

Brent crude decreased 0.8 percent to $84.40 a barrel at 8:42 a.m. in New York. Germany’s 10-year yield dropped to 0.79 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 1.7 percent, with Shire Plc (SHP) tumbling as much as 29 percent after AbbVie Inc. reconsidered a takeover bid, and Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures slid 1.1 percent. Currencies of oil-producing nations declined..

Link: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-14/asian-futures-rise-amid-u-s-rally-oil-climbs-after-rout.html

Quelle: zerohedge.com

Quote:

Crude Crashing: Brent Is Most. Oversold. EVER

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/14/2014 23:30 -0400

Yesterday we lamented the ridiculously oversold levels in West Texas Intermediate, which as BofA calculated, has hit "oversold" levels for only the third time in six years. We assumed that this could be the basis for a short-term rebound. We were wrong, because we clearly had no idea just how determined the Saudis are to crush Putin into the ground courtesy of plunging oil prices.

As of moments ago, WTI has tumbled nearly $4, some 5%, to just over $81...

Quelle: zerohedge.com

Quelle: zerohedge.com

Quelle: zerohedge.com

U.S. Öl- und Gas-Index und WTI Crude Oil: Heftige Korrektur

Unter dem höchsten Wochenvolumen seit mehr als zwei Jahren kommt es zu starken Ausverkäufen im renommierten U.S. Öl- und Gas-Index (DJUSEN):

Quelle: bigcharts.com

Quelle: bigcharts.com 

Quelle: zerohedge.com

Minenbranche: Nächste Änderungen in den S&P/TSX Mining Indices

Am kommenden Freitag gibt es wieder zahlreiche Änderungen in den führenden S&P/TSX Mining Indices. So sind ein steigendes Volumen, diverse Cross Trades, als auch eine höhere Volatilität zum Wochenende in einigen Werten bereits vorprogrammiert. 

Die Anpassungen in allen Indizes, welche die Minen- und Rohstoffbranche betreffen, sind in diesen News einsehbar. Folgend die nächsten Aufnahmen und Streichungen im S&P/TSX Global Gold Index und S&P/TSX Global Mining Index:

Quelle: S&P Dow Jones Canadian Index Services (djindexes.com)